FINANCIAL MODELING / SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Personal finance scenario model.

BASE CASE

—

SENSITIVITY

—

STRESS TEST

A scenario-modeling system comparing long-term financial outcomes under shifting assumptions, built to stress-test major decisions before committing to them.

CONTROL ROOM

Personal Finance Scenario Control Room

SYSTEM 05

∞

Scenarios

4

Outputs

4

Outputs

Variable

Status

Readout

Financing Terms

Base

Affordability

Debt Structure

Stress

Cash needs

Sensitivity

Live

Decision view

PERSONAL FINANCE SCENARIO SCHEMA

A clear model for comparing long-term financing outcomes.

01

Assumption Set

Financing terms and cash needs

02

Scenario Engine

Base, optimistic, conservative, stress

03

Sensitivity View

Variable impact across outcomes

04

Decision Output

Executive comparison and readout

04

Decision Output

Executive comparison and readout

CHALLENGE

Evaluating a major personal financial decision required comparing dozens of interconnected variables across multiple scenarios while understanding their long-term implications.

SOLUTION

Built a dynamic scenario analysis model capable of testing financing assumptions, debt structures, cash requirements, and affordability across major life decisions to support informed decision-making.

MY ROLE

Designed financial model architecture, built the scenario engine, created sensitivity analysis, developed executive outputs, and structured decision-support dashboards.

TOOLS

Excel

Financial Modeling

Sensitivity Analysis

Scenario Planning

Decision Support

IMPACT

Modeled 4 distinct financing scenarios across a major life decision, surfacing a swing of over $80K in long-term outcome depending on financing structure chosen.

SCENARIO COMPARISON

Scenario

Key Assumption

5-Yr Outcome

Risk Level

Base Case

Key Assumption

Standard financing terms

5-Yr Outcome

Stable

Risk Level

Low

Optimistic

Key Assumption

Faster income growth

5-Yr Outcome

Strong

Risk Level

Low

Conservative

Key Assumption

Flat income, higher rates

5-Yr Outcome

Tight

Risk Level

Medium

Stress Test

Key Assumption

Income disruption

5-Yr Outcome

Deficit

Risk Level

High

Let’s make it make sense.

If you’re trying to untangle a project, organize an operation, or make a hard decision easier to see, let’s talk.

EMAIL ME

© 2026 Noa Durban · Los Angeles